UK Box Office November 3rd-5th 2023

  1. Trolls Band Together £1,829,764 – £12,785,312

Dropped 28% in its third weekend.

Took £497k 27.2% (42.8% drop £869k) Friday; 796k 43.6% (9.2% drop £877k) Saturday; £532k 29.1% (32.9% drop) Sunday.

265th biggest third weekend between Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One and The Full Monty (close to Pitch Perfect 2, Elf, Cinderella and Mrs Doubtfire) and 483rd biggest inflated between Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One and Licence to Kill (close to Back To The Future Part III, My Girl, Last Christmas and Jerry Maguire).

59th biggest animated third weekend between Big Hero 6 and Cats and Dogs (close to Tangled, Inside Out, Madagascar, Mr Peabody, And Sherman) and 81st biggest animated inflated between The Pirates! In An Adventure With Scientists and Mr Peabody And Sherman (close to Chicken Little, The Smurfs, Coco and How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World 2).

15th biggest Dreamworks Animation third weekend between Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa and Madagascar (close to Trolls, The Boss Baby, How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World and Kung Fu Panda 2); 2016’s Trolls dropped 38% £1,990,129 #2 592 screens and £17,192,724 of £24,228,850.

Trolls Band Together has taken 25.6% less than Trolls but Troll’s opening was inflated with £2.4m from previews, but with Wish opening in two weeks, it won’t have the fewer Trolls had taking £1m+ for 5 weeks.

The 42 Dreamworks Animation films have taken over £700m and £1bn inflation inflated since 1998’s Antz.

Despite being released on VOD when cinemas reopened in July 2020, Trolls World Tour had a limited cinema release taking £948,876.

525th biggest between Ransom and The Impossible (close to Charlie’s Angels, Three Men and a Little Lady, Lyle, Lyle Crocodile and Jungle Cruise) and 913th inflated between Horton Hears a Who and Philomena (close to The Mask Of Zorro, Superman IV, Waking Ned Devine and Groundhog Day).

100th biggest animated film between Space Jam: A New Legacy and Rise of the Guardians (close to Epic, Lilo & Stitch, Rise of the Guardians and Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2) and 128t biggest inflated between Horton Hears a Who and South Park: Bigger, Longer & Uncut (close to The Jungle Book (re-release), Fantastic Mr. Fox, Treasure Planet and Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs 1992 RE).

  • 2. Five Nights at Freddy’s – £1,374,000 – £8,712,935

Dropped 74.5% in the second weekend.

Took £441k 32.1% (65% drop £1.26m) Friday; £575k 41.9% (47.7% drop £1.1m) Saturday; £355k 25.8% (54.4% drop £779k) Sunday.

According to research from Movio, 71% of its audience was under 25.

716th biggest second weekend between Lincoln and The Passion of the Christ (close to Speed, Stargate, Yogi Bear and Alvin and the Chipmunks) and 1,212th inflated between Analyze This and Chronicle (close to Bad Boys, Universal Solider, Hot Shots: Part Deux and Beverly Hills Cop III).

31st biggest horror second weekend between White Noise and Get Out (close to The Invisible Man, Final Destination 3, M3gan and A Quiet Place Part II) and 65th biggest inflated between Saw VI and Species (close to The Faculty, Nightmare on Elm Steet III, I Know What You Did Last Summer and Poltergeist 2).

After Five Nights at Freddy’s unusual opening weekend last week, it was always expected would drop over 70% in its second weekend having the 45th biggest second weekend drop (74.46%) between Kick-Ass 2 and Furious 8 (close to Tron Legacy, The King’s Man, Fantastic Four (2015) and Black Widow).

808th biggest between The World’s End and Birds of Prey (close to The Flash, Prince of Persia, Rampage and Yogi Bear) and 1,345th biggest inflated between Scent of a Woman and Clueless (close to The Running Man, Jingle All the Way, The Color of Money and Captain Underpants).

28th biggest horror between Final Destination 3 and Saw III (close to Sleepy Hollow, The Ring (2003), Scream (1997) and Halloween) and 58th inflated between The Ring Two and Annabelle: Creation (close to The Lawnmower Man, The Fly, Nightmare on Elm Steet III and Poltergeist 2).

  • 3. Killers Of The Flower Moon £1,142,745  – £7,761,802

Took £315k 27.7% (26.9% drop £431); Friday; £510k 44.8% (9% drop £561k) Saturday; £313k 27.5% (39.2% drop £515k) Sunday.

Down 24.2% in the third weekend

According to research from Movio, 39% of its audience was under 25.

513th biggest third weekend between Streetdance and It’s Complicated (close to Mission Impossible, Shutter Island, Erin Brockovich and Interview with the Vampire) and 816th biggest inflated between The Wolverine and Dangerous Minds (close to Get Out, Romeo & Juliet, True Grit and Misery)

Has become Martin Scorsese’s fourth biggest film in the UK (not including inflation) ahead of Hugo (£5,580,092); Casino (£4,721,460) and The Color of Money (£2,333,875) and this week will overtake The Aviator (£7,885,636). Should overtake in the coming weeks Shutter Island (£10,599,763); Gangs Of New York (£10,438,674) and Cape Fear (£10,396,215).

Martin Scorsese’s third weekend 

2014’s The Wolf of Wall Street dropped 33% £2,385,585 #1 and £14,964,390 515 screens and £10,903,399 of £22,267,066

2003’s Gangs Of New York dropped 34% £1,108,919 #4 374 screens and £7,869,425 of £10,438,674

2006’s The Departed dropped 25% £1,456,564 #1 358 screens and £8,152,596 of £12,576,260

2010’s Shutter Island dropped 36% £1,146,259 #4 418 screens and £7,677,255 of £10,599,763

1992’s Cape Fear dropped 32% £859,832 (£2,134,848 inflated) #1 and £6,125,181 of £10,396,215 (£25,812,409 inflated)

2004’s The Aviator dropped 7% £916,036 #4 331 screens and £4,671,663 of £7,885,636

2011’s Hugo dropped 47% £387,208 #6 #4 409 screens and £3,191,545 of £5,580,092

1996’s Casino dropped 37.4% £473,410 (£927,046 inflated) and £3,327,732 of £4,721,460 (£9,245,709 inflated)

1987’s The Color of Money dropped 38.2% £222,740 (£825,692 inflated) and £1,696,930 of £2,333,875 (£8,651,620 inflated)

1993’s The Age of Innocence took £2,359,098 (£5,785,234 inflated)

1990’s Goodfellas took £1,236,512 (£4,229,614 inflated)

917th biggest between Quartet and Edge of Tomorrow (close to The Aviator, One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest, Angelas Ashes and Gandhi) and 1,470th inflated between Mona Lisa Smile and The Children of Men (close to The Godfather Part III, Layer Cake, Jagged Edge and Analyze This).

  • 4. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour £970,004 – £11,694,679

Down 20.9% in the fourth weekend

Took £318k 32.8% (26.4% drop £432k) Friday; £373k 38.5% (13.1% drop £429k) Saturday; £277k 28.6% (24.1% drop £365k) Sunday.

351st biggest fourth weekend between Maleficent and Lemony Snicket’s A Series Of Unfortunate Events (close to High School Musical 3, Oz: The Great And Powerful, Free Guy and Sonic The Hedgehog) and 605th inflated between Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse and The Pirates! In An Adventure With Scientists (close to Coming To America, Sweet Home Alabama, Good Morning Vietnam and Hairspray (2007).

18th biggest 2023 film between Trolls Band Together and Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem.

Rather than comparing BO to other films due to the standard average price £19.89, need to compare admissions to regular prices in brackets; Friday 16k (42k); Saturday 19k (49k); Sunday 14k (36k).

Eras Tour will add about 1.53m admissions but real admissions were less than half due to £19.89/£13.13 prices. So, while Eras Tour box office is 26% more than 2009’s Michael Jackson’s This Is It £9,732,593 (£14,258,964 inflated) and 46% more than 2013’s One Direction: This Is Us £8,005,391 (£9,770,745 inflated), Eras Tour has had 67% less admissions than This Is It (1,789,080) and 52% less than One Direction This Is Us (1,225,940).

Ahead of opening many were comparing Eras Tour potential BO as big as Barbie as their fanbase is similarly as big as 3.5m Taylor Swift UK fans registered for the 750,076 tickets in the summer and as the majority weren’t able to buy tickets they would have surely wanted to see the concert in cinemas but only a fraction have done so.

While there are 104m+ Swifties worldwide with 20% in the US, while Taylor Swift has over 230m Instagram followers and 100m+ a month listening to her on Spotify, which adds up to over 520m+ fans worldwide. Ahead of the Eras Tour opening it was being compared to Barbie so surely should have opened far bigger. According to a YouGov survey, Taylor Swift is the 10th most popular contemporary singer in the UK; 96% UK have heard of her and 55% are fans. She had her 10th #1 album this year and has 6 albums in the top 20.

It would have surely performed stronger had it been released after her London concerts in August next year as those fans who got tickets for her concerts next year would have had mixed emotions of going to see it in cinemas 9 months earlier after their parents had spent £100+ on each ticket.

Advance booking for Renaissance: A Film by Beyoncé opens in the UK on Thursday ahead of its UK release on December 1st with a US premiere on November 30th and a UK premiere on November 30th.Presales have been open for over a month in the US but no details have been released on how they are, estimates have said they are less than a third of the Eras Tour and tickets will probably be £22 as they are $22 In the US.

Putting Era Tour BO in perspective taking £11.69m after 15 days it’s the 573rd biggest film between The Proposal and Over the Hedge (close to Pretty Woman, Jaws, Space Jam and Streetdance) but with admissions (587,968) it’s 1,984th biggest between Jupiter Ascending and Teen Wolf Too (close to Uncle Buck, Drop Dead Fred, What’s Love Got To Do With It? And The Producers).

Eras Tour was originally going to play for four weeks but exhibitors are playing it for another weekend.

  • 5. Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie £536,134 – £7,163,580

Took £112k 21% (48.1% drop £216k) Friday; £246k 46% (1.2% drop £249k) Saturday; £176k Sunday.33% (27.9% drop £244k).

Down 24.4% in the fourth weekend

701st biggest fourth weekend between Arachnophobia and Bad Teacher (close to Rain Man, Alvin And The Chipmunks: The Road Chip, The Wedding Singer and The Haunted Mansion (2004) and 967th inflated between The Duchess and Stakeout (close to Mr. Popper’s Penguins, Goosebumps, Diary Of A Wimpy Kid: Dog Days and Coyote Ugly).

124th biggest animation fourth weekend between Beauty and the Beast (1992) and Garfield (close to Space Jam, Pocahontas, Penguins Of Madagascar and Cars 3) and 135th inflated between Penguins Of Madagascar and Cloudy With A Chance Of Meatballs (close to The Little Mermaid (1990), Open Season, Atlantis and Pokemon: The First Movie).

2021’s The Paw Patrol Movie dropped 17% £465,037 #4 from 630 screens and £6,860,274 of £8,478,200.

1,001st biggest between The Danish Girl and Hop (close to GI Joe: Retaliation, Empire Strikes Back (SE), While You Were Sleeping and St. Trinian’s 2) and 1,551st inflated between The Equalizer and Moonstruck (close to The Witches, Little Women (1995), Get Smart and Star Wars:  Phantom Menace 3D).

154th biggest animated film between Coraline and Shaun the Sheep 2 (close to Onward, The Boss Baby 2, The Jungle Book (1993 re-issue) and Rango) and 185th inflated between Ice Age: Collision Course and Meet the Robinsons (close to Bambi (1993 re), The Nightmare Before Christmas, The Aristocrats (1994 RE) and The Land Before Time).

Also opened.

  • How To Have Sex – Mubi

Opened £134,090 #12 from 150 screens.

The British film received positive reviews after premiering at the Cannes Film Festival, received 13 BIFA nominations this week similar to Scrapper opened with £197,658 in August from 95 screens taking £565,338.

  • Bottoms – Warner Bros

Opened £226,585 #7 from 393 screens.

  • The Royal Hotel

Opened £78,469 #15 from 244 screens.

UK box office in detail

This weekend’s top 10 box office took £6,841,865 down 45.4% from last weekend’s £12,520,974: 785,514 down 46.9% from 1,478,799 admissions.

40th biggest weekend of the year out of 44 weeks between 29 September 2023 #1 The Creator (£2,255,034) and #1 08 September 2023 The Nun 2 (£1,743,903).

103rd biggest since cinemas reopened out of 155 weeks between #1 2021 #1 The Hitman’s Wife’s Bodyguard £1,636,128 and 18 March 2022 #1 The Batman £3,351,288

926th biggest top 10 of the last 21 years (out of 1,127) between 18 June 2021 #1 The Hitman’s Wife’s Bodyguard £1,636,128 (23.91% of top 10) and 11 March 2005 #1 Hitch £4,230,857 (61.89% top 10) and 1,059th biggest inflated between 04 July 2014 #1 Mrs Brown’s Boys d’Movie £2,188,761 (37.77% of top 10) and 27 April 2007 #1 Next £795,012  (18.35% of top 10)

The top 3 took (£4,346,509) 63.5% of the top 10; Trolls Band Together 26.74% (£1,829,764); Five Nights at Freddy’s 20.1% (£1,374,000); Killers Of The Flower Moon 16.7% (£1,142,745).

792nd highest percentage (26.74%) between 25 August 2006 You, Me and Depree (26.79%) and 07 August 2015 Fantastic Four (26.73%)

28 October 2011 #1 The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn (42.97%) and 21 August 2009 #1 Inglourious Basterds (42.89%)

1,026th biggest admissions #1 (229,581) between 01 April 2011 HOP (229,825) and 31 March 2006 Inside Man (229,375)

Up 5.3% from 2022 (£6,497,741); Living (£670,206); One Piece Film: Red (£559,623); Watcher (£140,396); The Bodyguard (30th Anniversary) (£24,074); #1 Black Adam £2,006,821 3rd week dropped 43% 650 screens (30.9% of top 10)

Down 43.3% from 2021; (£12,060,491); Eternals (£5,456,577); Spencer (£492,643); The Card Counter (£48,989); Willy Wonka And The Chocolate Factory (Re: 2021) (£12,303); #1 Eternals £5,456,577 1st week 642 screens (45.2% of top 10)

2020 COVID Second Lockdown

Down 43.4% 2019 (£12,078,831); Stephen King’s Doctor Sleep (£1,460,643); Sorry We Missed You (£364,849); #1 Joker £2,446,199 5th weekend #1 29.4% drop (20.2% of top 10)

Down 52.5% 2018: (£14,405,189); The Nutcracker and the Four Realms (£1,733,235); Slaughterhouse Rulez (£397,792); Peterloo (£348,697); Juliet, Naked (£51,813); #1 Bohemian Rhapsody £5,750,267 2nd week 681 screens 40% drop (39.9% of top 10)

Down 52.7% 2017: (£14,453,653); Murder on the Orient Express (£4,985,600); A Bad Moms Christmas (£1,781,738); The Killing of a Sacred Deer (£286,448); The Son of Bigfoot (£23,213); The Silence of the Lambs (Re: 2017) (£8,383); #1 Murder on the Orient Express £4,985,600 1st week 618 screens 1st week 611 screens (34.5% of the top 10)

Down 40.1% 2016: (£11,430,004); The Accountant (£1,623,866); A Street Cat Named Bob (£985,557); Nocturnal Animals (£755,427); The Light Between Oceans (£733,421); #1 Doctor Strange £3,445,203 2nd week 599 screens 63% drop (30.1% of the top 10)

Down 61.6% 2015; (£17,844,077); Brooklyn (£1,041,278); Burnt (£445,777); Scout’s Guide to the Zombie Apocalypse (£297,263); Kill Your Friends (£102,221); #1 SPECTRE £13,145,138 2nd week 660 screens 68% drop (73.6% of top 10)

Down 38.2% 2014: (£11,071,565); Interstellar (£5,378,220); Say When (£93,259); The Skeleton Twins (£19,204); November Man (£4,980); #1 Interstellar £5,378,220 1st week 574 screens (48.5% of top 10)

Down 52.3% 2013: (£14,343,283); Gravity (£6,238,375); #1 Gravity £6,238,375 1st week 539 screens (43.5% of top 10)

Down 70.2% 2012 (£22,991,689); Silent Hill: Revelation 3D (£1,043,068); Fun Size (£410,028); Rust and Bone (£252,099); The Shining (Re: 2012) (£132,470); The Master (£65,701); For a Good Time, Call… (£43,882); #1 Skyfall £16,107,687 2nd week 593 screens 20% drop (70.1% of top 10)

Down 27.8% 2011 (£9,478,695); In Time (£1,882,365); Tower Heist (£1,451,029); Machine Gun Preacher (£331,578); Straw Dogs (£41,912); Snow Flower and the Secret Fan (£4,895); #1 The Adventures of Tintin: Secret of the Unicorn £2,199,171 2nd week 510 screens 67% drop (23.2% of top 10)

Down 26.4% 2010: (£9,291,445); Due Date (£2,346,089); 3D Jackass (£1,696,909); Let Me In (£488,402); Another Year (£355,626); #1 Due Date £2,346,089 1st week 449 screens (25.2% of top 10)

Down 23.9% 2009; (£8,993,624); A Christmas Carol (£1,917,539); The Men Who Stare at Goats (£1,211,791); The Fourth Kind (£851,476); Bright Star (£207,881); #1 A Christmas Carol £1,917,539 1st week 446 screens (21.3% of top 10)

Down 50.3% 2008; (£13,780,120); Pride and Glory (£396,691); W (£367,512); Easy Virtue (£341,099); #1 Quantum of Solace £9,221,744 2nd week 541 screens 40% drop (66.9% of top 10)

Down 15.4% 2007: (£8,089,452); 30 Days of Night (£1,532,976); Elizabeth: The Golden Age (£1,348,440); Death at a Funeral (£357,212); The Lookout (£33,833); Brothers Solomon (£21,231); Man of the Year (£2,391); #1 Ratatouille £3,056,938 4th week 498 screens 57% drop (19.2% of top 10)

Down 36.3% 2006; (£10,744,444); Borat (£6,242,344); Sixty-Six (£292,295); Little Children (£158,012); #1 Borat £6,242,344 1st week 428 screens (58.1% of top 10)

Down 14.1% 2005 (£7,969,627); The Brothers Grimm (£919,713); Elizabethtown (£668,604); Murderball (£14,335); #1 Nanny McPhee £1,656,113 3rd week 1st #1 421 screens 46% drop (20.7% of top 10)

Up 15.6% from 2004 (£5,920,822); The Grudge (£2,261,710); Bad Santa (£474,450); Birth (£421,758); Look At Me (£88,161); #1 The Grudge £2,261,710 1st week 362 screens (38.2% of top 10)

Down 51.7% from 2003 (£14,166,002); The Matrix Revolutions (£8,712,350); Seabiscuit (expansion) (£767,371); #1 The Matrix Revolutions £8,712,350 1st week 467 screens (61.5% of top 10)

Down 57.1% 2002 (£4,357,114); Rabbit Proof Fence (£221,758); Orange County (£167,051); #1 28 Days Later £1,073,042 2nd week 320 screens 28% drop (24.6% of top 10)

Down 3.4% 2001 (£7,083,187); The Others (£2,259,538); The Animal (£345,651); #1 The Others £2,259,538 1st week 385 screens (31.9% of top 10).

Next week: (£15,472,862); Black Panther Wakanda Forever (£12,363,870); #1 Black Panther Wakanda Forever £12,363,870 1st week 699 screens (79.91% of top 10)

Film News

October BO was £75.6m up 3% from 2022; 2023 BO is currently up 10% from last year but last year had Avatar 2 (£76.92m); Black Panther 2 (£33.24m); Matilda (£27.9m); I Wanna Dance With Somebody (£11.38m) opening in Nov/Dec which will perform far stronger than this years The Marvels, The Ballard of Songbirds and Snakes, Napoleon, Wish, Wonka and Aquaman 2.

Top 10 films in October were Trolls Band Together took £10.94m; Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour £10.72m; Five Nights at Freddy’s £7.33m; Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie £6.62m; Killers Of The Flower Moon £6.61m; The Exorcist: Believer £5.69m; The Great Escaper £4.22m; The Creator £3.57m; Saw X £2.96m and A Haunting In Venice £2.24m

UK September admission 7,444,987; to put September admissions into perspective the first week of Barbenheimer had 7,332,592 admissions.

If Oct-Dec admissions are similar to last year they will add about 25m, that said Marvels is expected to open similarly to The Flash, while Wish will do much better than Strange World and Wonka will take more than Matilda, Aquaman 2 will take about a quarter of Avatar 2. Would see admissions at about 124m similar to 1996, about a 5% increase from 2022 and BO of £1bn+ up 11% from £902m. 

With several films already delayed due to the SAG strike that should have never happened will see a soft first 6 months of 2024, pushing back recovery even further.

US Box Office

  • Five Nights at Freddy’s – Universal Pictures

Dropped 76% in the second weekend $17.8m and $113.2m.

493rd biggest second weekend between The Departed and Ocean’s Eight (close to A Quiet Place Part II, 300: Rise of an Empire, Glass and Smile).

38th biggest second-weekend drop between Mortal Engines and The Devil Inside (close to Stay, The Apparition, Star Trek: Nemesis and Assassination Nation).

Much was made by analysts of the loss of Dune Part 2 from the weekend after Warner Bros delayed it in August to March, but the film took only 27% of its BO from the US opening with $41.01m taking $108.32m compared to $239.7m internationally and $402.02m worldwide. As the first film performed far stronger internationally the delay was dune as it was going to premiere at the Berlin Film Festival in February.

As in the UK, last weekend was one of the lowest of the year taking $64.6m ahead of Sept 15-17 $62m, Super Bowl weekend (Feb. 10-12) $52.6m and Sept. 22-24 $51.8m.

Blumhouse Production films have taken $3.11bn in the US and $5.88bn worldwide.

Recent second weekends

2023’s The Exorcist: Believer dropped 58.6% $10.97m and $44.9m of $61.6m and $109.5m worldwide

2023’s Insidious: The Red Door dropped 60.6% $13m and $58.08m of $82.15m and $186.25m worldwide

2023’s M3gan dropped 39.8% $18.3m and $56.83m of $95.04m and $181.01m

2022’s Halloween Ends dropped 80% $8m and $54.17m of $64.08m and $105.4m worldwide

2019’s Halloween dropped 58.8% $31.41m and $126.07m of $159.36m and $255.41m worldwide

2011’s Paranormal Activity 3 dropped 65.5% $18.14m and $80.91m of $104.02m and $207.03m worldwide

2021’s Halloween Kills dropped 70.8% $14.45m and $73.05m of $92m and $130.85m worldwide

2010’s Paranormal Activity 2 dropped 59.4% $16.5m and $65.66m of $84.75m and $177.51m

2019’s Glass dropped 53.2% $18.88m and $73.42m of $111.04m and $246.9m worldwide

Dropped 54% taking $35.6m from 74 territories and $103.5m and $217.1m worldwide; Mexico $16.9m; UK $10.6m; Brazil $7.7m; Australia $6.5m; Germany $5m.

  • Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour – AMC

Dropped 12% in the fourth weekend taking $13.61m #2 and $166.05m.

154th biggest fourth weekend between The Hunger Games: Catching Fire and The Waterboy (close to Bohemian Rhapsody, Independence Day, Get Out and Gladiator)

343rd biggest between 2012 and Robin Hood: Prince of Thieves; 858th biggest inflated between The Fox and the Hound and I Know What You Did Last Summer; 12th biggest 2023 between Mission: Impossible Dead Reckoning Part One and     Transformers: Rise of the Beasts.

As with One Direction’s This Is Us 10 years ago only a small percentage of Taylor Swift fans came out to see Eras Tour over opening weekend ($90m opening about 4.5m admissions this compares to 4.8m+ who saw her live concerts generating $2.2bn in ticket sales). There are 180m+ Taylor Swift fans in the US and 54m+ Swifties (20%) 523m fans worldwide and 104m+ Swifties. Era should be opening with more than three times as much having one of the biggest ever openings in the US.

It’s impossible to compare with any other concert film due to the standard price of $19.89, but that hasn’t stopped the industry from doing so.

2009’s Michael Jackson: This Is It dropped 68.2% $1.61m #10 and $70.25m of $72.09m and $261.18m worldwide

2011’s Justin Bieber: Never Say Never dropped 54.4% $4.27m #10 and $68.82m of $73.01m and $99.03m worldwide

2012’s Katy Perry’s Part of Me dropped 52.1% $550,177 #15 and $24.13m of $25.32m and $32.72m worldwide

2013’s One Direction: This Is Us dropped 54.2% $1.13m #15 and $28.45m of $28.87m and $68.56m worldwide

Despite Taylor Swift having more fans than many biggest franchises; 102m+ Swifties 20% in the US and 100s of millions of fans globally and 61bn streams on Spotify.

In the UK 3.5m fans registered for 750,076 tickets, similar in the US. She is being begged by world leaders to bring her Eras Tour concerts to countries as the US economy by $5.7bn ($2.2bn ticket sales).

So, while Eras Tour might be the biggest concert film it’s taken a fraction of what should have done as taking $165m in the US had about 8m admissions with all tickets $19.89/$23.89/$13.13 plus taxes and $65m internationally about 3m admissions less than 5% of internationally Swifties.

Despite Taylor’s international popularity being bigger than US but was always going to fall short as fans haven’t experienced Eras Tour live yet and after spending hundreds on concert tickets fans would have mixed emotions of spoiling the experience watching the film first.

That said as only a tiny percentage of her fans managed to buy tickets $1bn+ should have been the minimum Eraa Tour took globally over the last 4 weeks? When Eras Tour US opening was announced it wasn’t expected to go globally until August 2024 by releasing 9 months early it left hundreds of millions on the table.

Took $11.6m from 94 territories $65.1m total and $231.1m worldwide; took $15.5m from IMAX.

  • Killers of the Flower Moon – Paramount Pictures

Dropped 26% in the third weekend $6.87m and $52.2m.

1,759th biggest between Star Trek V: The Final Frontier and 10; 2,989th biggest inflated between   The Crazies and Invictus; 37th biggest 2023 between Saw X and Jesus Revolution. 235th biggest Paramount Pictures between Star Trek V: The Final Frontier and Selma.

As with all films opening since Oppenheimer in July due to the SAG strike the film promotion was centred on Martin Scorsese as the actors weren’t able to do any promotion, that said the cast attended Cannes Film Festival premiere in May. For most films opening since July, the strike has affected their BO.

Martin Scorsese has directed 26 films, received 13 Oscar nominations winning only 1 Best Director for 2006’s The Departed. His films have taken $1.087bn in the US and $2.272bn worldwide,

Killers of the Flower Moon is Martin Scorsese’s first theatrical release since 2016’s Silence which flopped at the BO taking $7.1m in the US and $23.7m worldwide.

Third weekends include.

2013’s The Wolf of Wall Street dropped 33.2% $8.83m #4 and $78.42m of $1116.94m and $389.81m worldwide

2011’s Hugo dropped 19.9% $6.05m #6 and $33.41m of $73.86m and $180.04m worldwide

2010’s Shutter Island dropped 41.6% $13.22m #3 and $95.75m of $128.01m and $299.46m worldwide

2006’s The Departed dropped 29.3% $13.46m #2 and $76.93m of $132.38m and $289.66m worldwide

2004’s The Aviator dropped 32.1% $7.6m #3 and $42.9m of $102.61m and $213.71m worldwide

2002’s Gangs of New York dropped 33.9% $7.4m #8 and $47.2m of $77.73m and $183.12m worldwide

1995’s Casino dropped 37.9% $3.8m #4 and $29.44m of $42.43m and $110.4m worldwide

1991’s Cape Fear dropped 7.7% $9.26m #4 and $38.24m of $79.09m and $182.29m worldwide

1990’s Goodfellas dropped 3% $5.16m #5 and $22.17m of $46.74m worldwide n/a

Ridley Scott’s Napoleon opens in three weeks is currently expected to open similar to Killers of the Flower Moon between $16m-$20m taking similar BO of $60m, the problem is audiences aren’t coming out to see these epic films as they did 20+ years ago as that will be about half of the opening of 2000’s Gladiator $34.81m taking $187.7m and $503.16m worldwide with a budget of $103m compared with $130m+ for Napoleon and Killers of the Flower Moon $200m+. Both financed by Apple having previously both being developed at studios as they won’t make these kinds of films anymore.

Gladiator 2 received a tax break of $50m to film in Malta of its $103m budget, this has been similarly the case for US films shooting in the UK with films receiving 25% tax break, The Marvels received tax break of $55m from $274.8m budget.

Took $11.9m down 24% from 65 territories and $66.8m and $119.1m worldwide; UK $9.5m; France $8.2m; Germany $5.6m; Spain $4.2m; Australia $3.7m; took $11.2m globally from IMAX.

  • Priscilla – A24

Up 3,748% in its second weekend taking $5.084m (added 1,355 screens) and $5.31m

Priscilla is Sofia Coppola eighth film taking $89m in the US and $252.33m worldwide; winning Oscar for Best Original Screenplay for Lost in Translation.

2000’s The Virgin Suicides increased 101% after expansion taking $349,998 from 100 screens and $919,429 of $4.9m and $10.4m worldwide

2003’s Lost in Translation increased 202.7% after expansion taking $4.1m and $44.58m and $118.68m worldwide

2006’s Marie Antoinette opened $5.36m wide taking $15.96m and $60.91m worldwide

2010’s Somewhere didn’t expand beyond 83 screens taking $1.78m and $14.78m worldwide

2013’s The Bling Ring increased 833.7% after expansion taking $2m and $2.34m of $5.84m and $20.04m

2017’s The Beguiled increased 1,279.7% after expansion taking $3.16m from 674 screens and $3.48m of $10.7m and $27.86m worldwide    

2020’s On the Rocks didn’t have US theatrical release opened UK with $121,373 taking $598,627

UK Box Office Top 10

UK Box Office Preview

There is often one film of a franchise fans target their anger and frustration this was seen with Solo: A Star Wars Story opening six months after the polarised response to Star Wars: The last Jedi which followed the positive response to Star Wars: The Force Awakens and Rogue One: A Star Wars Story. This year The Flash received a lot of negative coverage, a lot of which it didn’t deserve as there are far worse comic-book films that have received better reviews and have taken far more at the box office.

The Marvels is probably not a bad film, problem is more what came before it over the last few years with Phase 4 of the MCU with Blade Widow, Shang-Chi, Eternals, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse, Thor: Love and Thunder, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever, Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, were all hype little substance by the numbers MCU films.

Despite the huge success of 2021’s Spider-Man: No Way Home the problem dates back to 2019’s Avengers: Endgame, what should have followed was a new slate of films based on new Marvel characters instead the first film was Black Widow which should have been made 4 years earlier after Captain America: Civil War if not earlier as Black Widow’s first appearance in the MCU was in 2010’s Iron Man 2.

This has been where one o the issues with the MCU have been as despite all the praise and BO, it took them 10 years and 17 films to diversify from white arrogant male-led films with Black Panther and 11 years and 20 films for Captain Marvel. While DC has received much-deserved negativity for their films 2017’s Wonder Woman was the fourth DC Extended Universe film released only a year after appearing in Batman Vs Superman and appeared again in Justice League opening 5 months later.

The Marvels also shows Disney hasn’t learnt anything from their Star Wars films as it features characters from TV spinoff shows making it not as accessible to non-fans as pre-Endgame MCU films. The upcoming slate is more sequels and unnecessary remakes of Fox and New Line Marvel films that will be MCU by the numbers not giving audiences anything new despite Marvel library having 80,000+ characters.

While presales have been soft since advance booking opened over a month ago and similar is the case internationally as presales data is rarely available for the UK its much harder to predict, but looking at key cinemas like BFI IMAX, Odeon Leicester Square and Vue Westfield advance sales are incredibly soft.

In the US three weeks ago The Marvels was tracking to open between $75m-$80m (compared to Captain Marvel’s $153.4m opening) normally as a marketing campaign builds, advance sales open and awareness grows expectations increase but instead many are expecting it to open similar to The Flash $55m with $7m previews, it opened with £4.25m in the UK from 660 screens taking £8,856,170, this would see it have MCU’s lowest opening since 2015’s Ant-Man, but it’s more likely to be comparable to Shang-Chi and Eternals opening between £5.25m-£6m which would be about half as much as both Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (£12,363,870) and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 (£12,079,820) as well as less than half 2019’s Captain Marvel (£12.75m).

The social media embargo ended on Tuesday evening in the US receiving mostly positive reactions but always have to take social media reactions with a pinch of salt as immediate reactions are always far more positive than actual reviews days later… As seen with BvS ‘Still so giddy. Im totaaaaallllyy going to be seeing this again”… “That was f-cking awesome!” but then a few days later received poor reviews.

While the review embargo ends on Wednesday, November 8th the day it starts its international release in many European territories, as 20 MCUs have had extended openings in the UK as did Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 taking £2.84m The Marvels opens Friday as Black Panther: Wakanda Forever and Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania.

The Marvels is one of the shortest MCU films 1hr 45mins, Disney released a final trailer this week which featured one of the cameos.

As the holdovers target different demographics to The Marvels, they should hold better than they do normally when an MCU film opens. Trolls Band Together will have a similar fourth weekend drop as it did in its third weekend, down about 30% taking £1.2m-£1.4m. Paw Patrol: The Mighty Movie will have a similar drop in its fifth weekend.

Five Nights at Freddy’s, Killers of the Flower Moon and Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour are all likely to have similar 40%+ drops taking between £550k-£900k.

Dream Scenario is the other new release starring Nicolas Cage it has received positive reviews and has been called one of his best recent films if it can find an audience could open similar to 2022’s The Unbearable Weight Of Massive Talent £516,697 #7 from 556 screens taking £1,355,388.

The film is produced by Ari Aster; previously directed 2018’s Hereditary opening £1,863,913 taking £5,498,016; 2019’s Midsommar opened £812,052 taking £2,360,060 and 2023’s Beau Is Afraid opened £231,370 taking £429,104.

Opening in three weeks

  • Wonka -Warner Bros

Musical fantasy prequel to Charlie and the Chocolate Factory starring Timothée Chalamet in the title role, along with newcomer Calah Lane and an ensemble cast including Keegan-Michael Key, Paterson Joseph, Matt Lucas, Mathew Baynton, Sally Hawkins, Rowan Atkinson, Jim Carter, Tom Davis, Olivia Colman, and Hugh Grant and directed by Paul King.

Received positive reaction from test screenings in December 2022 and had a special screening at ShowEast; opens in the UK a week before it opens in the US as Roald Dahl adaptations perform far stronger in the UK than the US.

Warner Bros acquired rights to Willy Wonka in 2016 five years before Netflix acquired the Roald Dahl Story Company

Paul King chose to direct Wonka instead of directing Paddington 2 after directing the first two Paddington films, both David Heyman produced Wonka and Paddington 3.

As Wonka was shot in the UK it received a similar 25% tax break as The Marvels and Barbie have had, with a reported $125m budget it was about $30m.

Roald Dahl’s film adaptations have been extremely popular in the UK.

1990’s The Witches opened £168,742 (£585,165 inflated) taking £2,135,460 (£7,405,372 inflated)

1996’s Matilda opened £1,252,726 (£2,735,683 inflated) taking £10,227,163 (£22,333,913 inflated); took £887k Friday; £1.74m Saturday; £1.48m Sunday

1996’s James and the Giant Peach opened £399,412 (£872,229 inflated) taking £5,750,628 (£12,558,128 inflated)

2005’s Charlie and the Chocolate Factory opened £7,972,168 (£13,676,246 inflated) taking £37,354,584 (£64,081,749 inflated)

2009’s Fantastic Mr Fox opened £1,517,312 taking £9,260,892

2016’s The BFG opened £5,288,529 taking £30,694,086

2022’s Roald Dahl’s Matilda The Musical opened £4,135,418 taking £28,044,574

Wonka will face competition from Wish which will perform far stronger than Strange World did against Matilda, but Wonka faces the issues prequels have been there any need for it especially as Charlie and the Chocolate Factory included a flashback of his childhood and how Oompa-Loompa came to live in the factory.

  • Please Don’t Destroy: The Treasure Of Foggy Mountain – Universal Pictures

Comedy starring Ben Marshall, John Higgins and Martin Herlihy, produced by Judd Apatow and directed by Paul Briganti.

The film was released on Peacock same day in the US so surprising featuring cast of with the little-known Saturday Night Live cast is having a theatrical release in the UK. It was originally due to be released in the US in cinemas in August.